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Maria Hover
Maria Hover

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What is Bitcoin dominance in the cryptocurrency market?

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Margaret Boucher • Edited

Bitcoin dominance is a metric that represents Bitcoin's market share in relation to the overall cryptocurrency market. It is expressed as a percentage and helps indicate how significant Bitcoin is compared to other cryptocurrencies combined. Simply put, Bitcoin dominance shows how much of the entire crypto market’s value is attributed to Bitcoin alone, which can be a crucial indicator of market sentiment and trends.

How Is Bitcoin Dominance Calculated?

Bitcoin dominance is calculated by taking the market capitalization of Bitcoin and dividing it by the total market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies:

Bitcoin Dominance (%)= (Market Cap of Bitcoin/Total Market Cap of Cryptocurrencies) X 100

Where:

1. Market Cap of Bitcoin is the current price of Bitcoin multiplied by the total number of Bitcoins in circulation.
2. Total Market Cap of Cryptocurrencies is the aggregate market cap of all digital assets, including Bitcoin, Ethereum, altcoins, and stablecoins.

Why Does Bitcoin Dominance Matter?

Bitcoin dominance provides valuable insights into the overall sentiment and risk appetite in the cryptocurrency market. Here’s why it’s important:

1. Investor Sentiment:

  • A higher dominance usually indicates a preference for Bitcoin over other cryptocurrencies, suggesting that investors are seeking stability. This typically occurs during periods of market uncertainty, when people tend to move their investments away from riskier altcoins and into Bitcoin, which is considered a safer asset in the crypto ecosystem.
  • A lower dominance often points to growing confidence in altcoins and alternative blockchain projects, implying that investors are willing to explore assets with potentially higher risks but higher rewards.

2. Market Cycle Indicator:

  • During a bull market, Bitcoin’s dominance might initially rise as new money enters the market through Bitcoin. However, as the market progresses, investors often diversify into altcoins, causing Bitcoin dominance to decline.
  • In a bear market, investors generally seek refuge in Bitcoin, leading to a rise in dominance as it is perceived to be less volatile compared to smaller and newer altcoins.

3. Capital Rotation:

  • In cryptocurrency markets, capital rotation often occurs between Bitcoin and altcoins. When Bitcoin is rallying, dominance usually increases, indicating that investors are putting their money in Bitcoin. After a while, profits often move to altcoins, causing dominance to decrease and leading to what is sometimes called an "alt season."

Historical Trends in Bitcoin Dominance

Historically, Bitcoin dominance has fluctuated widely, reflecting changes in market conditions and the evolution of the cryptocurrency landscape. In the early years of cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin's dominance was above 90%, as it was the only well-known digital asset. However, as new projects like Ethereum, Ripple, and numerous other altcoins gained popularity, Bitcoin dominance decreased.

For instance:

  • 2017 Bull Run: During the 2017 bull run, Bitcoin dominance fell below 40% as altcoins, especially Ethereum and ICO projects, captured significant market share.
  • 2021 Bull Market: In 2021, Bitcoin dominance dropped from around 70% to below 40%, mainly due to the rise of Ethereum and other projects in the decentralized finance (DeFi) and NFT spaces.

Below is a sample table showing Bitcoin dominance over different years:

Year Bitcoin Dominance (%) Major Trends
2013 95% Bitcoin as the predominant crypto
2017 39% Altcoin boom, rise of Ethereum
2019 70% Bear market stabilization
2021 40% DeFi and NFT boom, altcoin expansion

Factors That Affect Bitcoin Dominance

Several factors can influence Bitcoin’s dominance in the cryptocurrency market:

1. Rise of Altcoins: When new blockchain projects or tokens show promise, especially those with unique use cases (e.g., DeFi or NFTs), money tends to flow into these altcoins, reducing Bitcoin’s dominance.
2. Market Sentiment: During times of uncertainty, Bitcoin is often seen as a store of value, akin to "digital gold." This can lead to a higher dominance rate as investors pull out of riskier altcoins.
3. Bitcoin Halving: Historically, Bitcoin's price tends to rise after a halving event (which occurs roughly every four years), often leading to increased interest and a higher dominance percentage.

How to Use Bitcoin Dominance in Trading

Traders often use Bitcoin dominance as a tool to inform their trading strategies:

  • If Bitcoin Dominance is Increasing: This might indicate that altcoins are losing value compared to Bitcoin, and it could be a signal to reduce exposure to altcoins.
  • If Bitcoin Dominance is Decreasing: This often suggests an "alt season" where altcoins are outperforming Bitcoin. During these times, traders might shift more of their portfolios into promising altcoins.

Limitations of Bitcoin Dominance

While Bitcoin dominance can be a useful indicator, it has some limitations:

  • Market Cap Accuracy: Calculating dominance depends on accurate market cap data. The total market cap can sometimes be misleading, particularly for low-liquidity altcoins whose prices can be easily manipulated.
  • Stablecoins Influence: The increasing presence of stablecoins, like Tether (USDT), impacts overall market capitalization, potentially distorting Bitcoin dominance figures.

Conclusion

Bitcoin dominance is a key metric for understanding the dynamics between Bitcoin and the wider cryptocurrency market. It reflects investor sentiment, risk appetite, and market trends. By analyzing Bitcoin dominance, investors can make informed decisions about whether to focus on Bitcoin or diversify into altcoins, making it a valuable tool for navigating the often-volatile world of cryptocurrencies.